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(18/09/23)
 Boeing has forecast that intra-African passenger
traffic will more than quadruple in the next twenty years, placing
the continent’s growth among the highest globally.

To support
this, Boeing predicts that 1,025 new airplanes will be needed over the next two
decades.

Overall African air traffic growth is forecast at
7.4%, the third highest among global regions and above the global
average growth of 6.1%.

African aviation traffic has recovered at a strong
pace in 2023 led by pent-up demand and economic growth driven by
higher global commodity prices, with African airline flights
currently 8% above pre-pandemic levels.

Africa’s above global
average, long-term annual economic growth of 3.4%, combined with
increasing rates of urbanization and a growing middle-class
population, will continue to drive Africa’s long-term traffic
demand, according to Boeing. Economic and growth Initiatives such
as the African Continental Free Trade Area and Single African Air
Transport Market are expected to further stimulate trade and
intra-regional connectivity.

Boeing’s Commercial Service Outlook 2023 – 2042

Boeing included the data as part of its
2023 Commercial Market Outlook (CMO), the company’s long-term
assessment of global demand for commercial airplanes and services. The 2023 Africa CMO also includes the
following
projections through 2042:

– With Europe remaining the most prominent
origin/destination for travelers to and from Africa, airlines in
the region will grow their fleets by 4.5% per year to accommodate
passenger traffic growth.

– Single aisle jets are expected to account for
more than 70% of commercial deliveries, with 730 new planes mainly
supporting domestic and intra-regional demand. In addition,
African carriers are estimated to need 275 new widebodies,
including passenger and cargo models, to support long-haul routes
and air freight growth.

– Approximately 90% of African jet deliveries are
expected to serve fleet growth with more fuel-efficient models
with nearly one in
five deliveries replacing older airplanes.

– Estimated demand for aviation personnel will
rise to 69,000 new professionals, including 21,000 pilots, 22,000
technicians and 26,000 cabin crew members.

– Commercial services opportunities such as supply
chain, manufacturing, repair and overhaul are valued at $105
billion.

“African carriers are well-positioned to support
intra-regional traffic growth and capture market share by offering
services that efficiently connect passengers and enable commerce
within the continent,” said Randy Heisey, Boeing managing director
of Commercial Marketing for Middle East and Africa. “We forecast
an increase in the average aircraft size and seats per aircraft
for the African fleet, as single aisles, like the Boeing 737 MAX,
will be the most in demand for the continent.”

The complete CMO can be downloaded for free and in
different formats on Boeing’s website

here.

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